One of cricket’s most anticipated fixtures — India vs Pakistan in the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2026 — is scheduled for Sunday, 15 February 2026 at the R. Premadasa Stadium in Colombo, Sri Lanka. While fans are looking forward to this iconic rivalry, the weather forecast suggests that conditions could play an important role on match day.
☀️ Colombo Weather Forecast Snapshot
According to the latest forecasts from multiple meteorological sources:
- Rain probability: Medium to high overall (~50-60%) with scattered showers possible throughout the day before the match.
- Temperature: Around 27-30°C during the afternoon and early evening.
- Humidity: Expected to be in the 70-80% range, characteristic of coastal climates at this time of year.
- Cloud cover: Mostly cloudy with periods of heavy showers likely between afternoon and early evening, which overlaps with match hours.
Many forecasts warn that rain and thunderstorms could develop due to a low-pressure system forming over the Bay of Bengal, potentially leading to delays or interruptions during the game.
🌧️ Match Time Weather Details
- Afternoon (12 PM-5 PM): Cloudy skies with a good chance of showers, with rain activity predicted to peak between 4 PM and 6 PM.
- Evening (6 PM onward): Rain probability decreases, but light rain or drizzle could persist near the start time (match scheduled for 7:00 PM IST).
- Prenoon rain chances are higher than those expected once the game officially begins, but rain interruptions remain possible early in the evening.
⛈️ Rain Risk & Match Impact
Multiple weather models indicate a significant chance of rain around match hours, meaning:
- Delays to start time are possible if rain showers occur close to the scheduled toss.
- Intermittent rain or thunderstorm activity could cause brief stoppages.
- DLS (Duckworth-Lewis-Stern) method may be used to adjust the target or overs if the match is interrupted after play begins.
- A full washout (abandoned match) remains a possibility if rain is heavy or persistent for extended periods.
However, there’s also good news: the R. Premadasa Stadium in Colombo is equipped with a full-ground cover system, allowing matches to resume quickly after rain stops — typically within about 20 minutes — reducing the risk of long delays.
📊 Latest Forecast Consensus
Weather services vary slightly in predictions, but the broader consensus is as follows:
| Time Slot | Rain Chance | Conditions |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (09:00-12:00 IST) | 25-40% | Partly cloudy |
| Afternoon (12:00-17:00 IST) | 40-60% | Showers likely |
| Evening (17:00-20:00 IST) | 20-35% | Light rain/drizzle possible |
| Night (20:00 IST) | 10-20% | Clearing skies |
This mixed forecast means that while rain could influence the lead-up to the match, the core match hours may see more favourable conditions once the game gets underway.
🏏 What This Means for Fans
Cricket enthusiasts planning to watch the match in Colombo or around the world should:
- Keep an eye on updated weather forecasts closer to game day.
- Expect possible delays or shortened overs if rain occurs.
- Prepare for cloudy evening weather, with conditions likely improving as the night progresses.
- Villa R Premadasa stadium’s efficient drainage systems should help in getting play back on track quickly after any showers.
📌 Disclaimer
The weather information above is based on current meteorological forecasts and weather model predictions in the days leading up to the India vs Pakistan T20 World Cup 2026 match. Weather conditions can change rapidly, and final conditions on match day may differ from forecasts. The article uses data from recognised forecast agencies and meteorological departments as of the latest reports.